President Rodrigo Duterte has appointed Maria Belen Acosta as chairperson of the Mindanao Development Authority (MinDa), Malacañang confirmed on Wednesday.Acosta, who resigned as Davao City councilor on Tuesday, will serve a term of six years. She replaces Emmanuel Piñol… Read More
If the world will not end by 2012 as the Incas predicted, year 2013 would be another exciting year for Dabawenyos.
For the Nograleses, 2013 is an occasion to rise from the political debacle of 2010. Prospero Nograles may no longer think about running for the fourth time and realize his boyhood dream of becoming mayor of this city which has already spurned him thrice in past elections. But dreams never die. Political survival for the Nograleses which now hinges on the shoulders of Congressman Karlo Nograles may have already reached its breaking point after the miserable loss of Nograles in the hands of Mayor Inday Sara Duterte in the mayoral race.
NOGRALES: Bye-bye muna see you in 2013
But you cannot stop pundits to speculate on what is store in 2013. You cannot also stop the Nograleses from dreaming about how to stop the Duterte’s stranglehold on city politics. Or how to have one of them sit as mayor in 2013, after three failed attempts.
With the dust of the battle in the May 2010 elections barely settling down, political analysts are already predicting that Mayor-elect Sara Duterte would be facing a tough foe in her reelection in 2013 in lawyer Karlo Nograles. The young Nograles, son of Speaker Prospero Nograles, has emerged as the last man standing among candidates in the major races of the Team Nograles after votes were counted for the May 10 polls, winning against councilor Mabel Acosta in the First District race for Congress.
Nograles, although trounced with a vote margin of more than 200,000 votes in a lopsided fight with Mayor Sara Duterte, himself may not be listed out. While he lost miserably to Mayor Sara Duterte, his political armament rests on Karlo, who survived a near-sweep by the Hugpong sa Tawong Lungsod of Mayor Rodrigo Duterte. Karlo in 2013 is still a vague haze as a political figure. He joins Congress as a neophyte congressman without the influence of his Speaker father.
Outgoing Mayor Rodrigo Duterte, father of the newly-minted mayor, is not also going to fade out and would remain a political giant in the next polls.
This early, political observers predict a scenario of a full Duterte-Duterte vs. Nograles-Nograles grand battle: the young Congressman Karlo Nograles challenging Mayor Sara Duterte; Prospero Nograles running in the First District congressional race against Vice Mayor Rodrigo Duterte.
To make the 2013 elections more exciting, the grand battle could be a triple-header between the Dutertes and the Nograleses with councilor Paolo Duterte taking a crack at the vice mayorship against another Nograles: Jerico, Congressman Karlo Nograles’ brother or former city counciolor Gerry Nograles, the Speaker’s brother.
Mayor Rodrigo Duterte may have proven anew his political dominance in the 2010 elections, but he has to contend with one undying force: Nograles’ dream of one becoming mayor.
But even masochists have saturation levels: when the pain becomes constant, the pain becomes no longer enjoyable. By 2013 with his dream of capturing City Hall seen as another futile attempt, the political masochist in Nograles—beaten thrice in the mayoral races—could field Karlo to challenge Sara. He could run for Congress to replace Karlo.
The Nograleses ended the 2010 elections gasping for breath with only Karlo surviving.
2013 could be their only last chance to change the city’s political landscape.
But with Sara proving her worth in 2010, Karlo still uncertain of his political future and Nograles disowned by his party and making enemies with anything that moves, the dream to capture City Hall may just have to end as an unfulfilled dream.
Davao City broadcaster Jun Bersamin, in his unofficial photo, of ABS/CBN DXAB radio.
LATEST UNOFFICIAL COUNT OF RESULT OF MAYORAL RACE IN DAVAO CITY: VICE MAYOR SARA DUTERTE 8 VOTES FOR EVERY TEN WITH SPEAKER NOGRALES GETTING 2.
WITH THE RESULT SARA DUTERTE COULD END THE RACE WITH 200,000 VOTE MARGIN VS. NOGRALES.
IN THE VICE MAYORAL RACE, MAYOR RODRIGO DUTERTE IS SCOOPING 90 % OF VOTES, WITH OPPONENT BENJAMIN DE GUZMAN……………………………?
IN THE FIRST DISTRICT CONGRESSIONAL RACE, KARLA NOGRALES AND MABEL ACOSTA STILL IN A NECK-TO-NECK FIGHT WITH ACOSTA WITH A SLIGHT EDGE.
Maximo “Dodong” Solis, in his unofficial photo, manager of Davao City RMN DXDC.
QUO VADIS, BOY AND KARLO NOGRALES?
Nogie’s ‘errand boy’ drowned by issues
Councilor Mabel Acosta has zoomed up in the latest survey to a high 51.70% against Karlo Nograles’ 34.12 % in a remarkable leap forward that could seal a one-two debacle for the Nograleses in this election.
Acosta’s leading streak at the homestretch to the May polls in the First District congressional race comes as the Hugpong sa Tawong Lungsod unmasked Karlo Nograles of Team Nograles as a sham candidate riding on the credentials of his father, Speaker Prospero Nograles.
Speaker Nograles himself is facing rough weather in his mayoral bid, taking a low 10 to 20 percent of votes in collated surveys against Vice Mayor Sara Duterte.
Hugpong said based on its in-house survey, Mabel is ahead with 51.70% against Karlo’s 34.12 %.
Mathematically, with 60 percent of the city’s First District voters numbering 390,000 turning at precincts to cast their ballot—with the unaccounted vote percentage in the survey split between Mabel and Karlo ((14% or 7% each or 59% for Mabel and 41% for Karlo)—Mabel would be garnering votes of about 234,000 with Karlo taking in about 156,000 or a difference of about 88,000.
The result of the survey done first week of May upped Mabel’s lead in another survey a week before that showed her taking 47.41% against Karlo’s 36.32%.
The twin-results at the crucial dash to the finish line, more or less, would be the picture when votes are counted, according to Hugpong.
The Hugpong survey finds validation on Mabel’s come-from-behind assault after the Hugpong bet lagged behind Karlo in earlier surveys.
The Pulso ng Bayan political survey of Advance Marketing for Media, Inc. (AM/FM, Inc.) in the same period had Karlo getting a severe beating from Acosta who notched 46.20%, against the Speaker’s son’s 40.60%.
AM/FM Inc. is backed by the University of Mindanao Broadcasting Network (UMBN), a pioneering broadcasting company based in Davao City which operates eight FM stations and five AM stations in key cities in Mindanao and the Visayas.
The AM/FM surveys documented Acosta’s dramatic rise starting with its January survey, where Acosta got 26.3% while Karlo scored 42.5%.
In the March AM/FM survey, Acosta’s score surged to 33.20% while Karlo’s support was nailed at 42.19%.
Hugpong said Karlo’s drop in ratings resulted from massive media and ground-level information campaign about the young lawyer who is the Speaker’s chief of staff.
He has been bared as having lawyered for the Legacy banks whose get-rich-scheme through offers of super-high interests left thousands of investors without their millions. Speaker Nograles also has been accused of links to the Legacy scandal after he reportedly tried to abort a Congress probe on the bank scam.
Karlo’s campaign pitch primarily run on free scholarship, livelihood funds, medical insurance and road development which are all regular programs of the national government.
The most damaging assault on Karlo was to demolish his promise he would do better than the Speaker in bringing national government funds to the city.
Hugpong said Karlo would be nothing but a neophyte congressman if he wins the election, without his father to rely on as the Speaker would have already been a civilian by the time the son would sit in Congress.
In between the attacks on his credibility, Karlo was accused along with his father for using government projects for their political ends through large signboards with their name and photo embedded in them.
A USAID-funded anti-graft body is being tapped by Hugpong in the filing of corruption charges against the father-and-son tandem for their giant signboards that claimed the projects were theirs.
Karlo’s case could include usurpation of authority as he is not an elected official whose name appears in the signboards of the government projects.
Karlo has confounded his problems with Speaker Nograles creating foes on all fronts including the local media whom he accused of biased reporting.
He has been junked by his own party Lakas-Kampi-CMD and its standard bearer Gibo Teodoro, whom he accused of appointing a Duterte-friendly campaign manager for Davao City. Nograles also had been refused entry by presidentiable Manny Villar and his Nacionalista Party, after he left the administration party.
With Mayor Rodrigo Duterte ushering to the slaughterhouse Benjamin de Guzman in the vice mayoral run, and Vice Mayor Sara Duterte dashing a period to Speaker Prospero Nograles’ political career in the mayoral derby, Hugpong sa Tawong Lungsod said Karlo Nograles’ head is third on the line to the chopping block.
In a latest pre-poll survey, Karlo, son of the Speaker running for Congress in the First District under Team Nograles, has burnt out losing to Hugpong’s councilor Mabel Acosta despite his wide lead early in the campaign period.
Barely more than two weeks before the elections, the Duterte-Duterte tandem continues to enjoy a wide-margin lead over their rivals in terms of voter preferences, according to latest survey results released by Davao City-based pollsters.
According to the Pulso ng Bayan political survey of Advance Marketing for Media, Inc. (AM/FM, Inc.), Hugpong sa Tawong Lungsod mayoralty candidate Sara Z. Duterte enjoyed 66.53% support while his rival, Speaker Prospero C. Nograles only got 23.67% from a total of 1,500 respondents.
AM/FM Inc. is backed by the University of Mindanao Broadcasting Network (UMBN), a pioneering broadcasting company based in Davao City which operates eight FM stations and five AM stations in key cities in Mindanao and Visayas.
In the vice mayoralty post, the AM/FM Inc. survey conducted last April-15-17 and April 19-21 also showed that Mayor Rodrigo R. Duterte scored 72.87% while his rival, Benjamin C. De Guzman, got 15.33%.
In the first congressional district, the lead of Hugpong candidate Councilor Mabel Acosta over Karlo Nograles continues to widen with 46.20%, a six percentage lead from Karlo’s 40.60%.
A comparative presentation of AM/FM survey showed the increasing support that Acosta has been gaining especially since the start of local campaign period last March 26 when she was officially endorsed by Mayor Duterte as Hugpong official candidate.
In its January survey, Acosta only got 26.3% while Karlo scored 42.5%. In March AM/FM survey, Acosta’s score surged to 33.20% while Karlo’s support was nailed at 42.19%.
The latest AM/FM survey this month showed that Karlo has even lost two percent 40.60% while Acosta further gained 30 percent with 46.20%.
The increasing trend in Acosta’s performance reflected in AM/FM survey is consistent with the results of the recent survey results separately conducted by another local pollster commissioned by Hugpong.
The Hugpong-commissioned survey showed Acosta now enjoys 47.41% support while Karlo’s performance slid to 36.32%. Shortly before the local campaign period, the two were virtually in a statistical dead heat at 38.8-40%.
“Karlo’s dive is now irreversible. Like his father, his candidacy is already doomed to fail at this stage of the campaign. No amount of black propaganda can block the victory of Acosta who will certainly share the triumphs of the Dutertes come election day,” said the Hugpong in a statement.
Aside from the increasing improvement in voter preference for Acosta, Hugpong said its latest survey also showed that the support of voters for the Dutertes and other Hugpong candidates are virtually unchanged since it has periodically conducted surveys starting late last year.
Hugpong surveys showed its candidates continue to enjoy commanding lead over their rivals though they slightly change, from time to time, in terms of standing among themselves as in the case of Hugpong candidates for councilors in the second district wherein 16 of them agreed to campaign together.
But in the case of mayoralty candidate, Sara scored 76.69% this April while his rival Nograles only got 20.70%. The trend is statistically the same from previous surveys which showed 18-20% average performance of Nograles and 75-77% average performance of Sara.
“The favorable voter preferences for all the Hugpong candidates are unchanged given the minimal survey-to-survey statistical variations. It is a clear indicator that even before the campaign period, people in Davao City have strongly supported the Duterte-Duterte administration candidates,” the Hugpong statement said.